http://goo.gl/W9rNbY
Wow. 533,000 people. So, what's going on here? Well, possibilities include:
- The earlier estimates may have simply been underestimating by 10% or so.
- The earlier estimates may have been accurate at the time, but it's possible that another 40K or so Michiganders who didn't qualify last spring have fallen on hard times since then and do qualify now.
- There may be a small amount of genuine fraud going on here; hey, it does happen.
There's one other possibility: 36,307 of the 533K total are people who were previously covered through Medicaid's adult benefits waiver program. I've been assuming all along that the 477K - 500K eligible estimate included those 36K as well, but it's possible that it didn't. If that's the case, then the actual number eligible should be closer to 540K, which would dovetail nicely with today's update.